MONDAY 16 OCTOBER 2017
10h30: Introduction (Y. Tramblay)
10h45: The Montpellier Institute for Water and Environment (IM2E) to promote interdisciplinary research (E. Servat)
11h00: Presentation of the Mediterranean Integrated STudies at Regional And Local Scales (MISTRALS) program (C. Moulin)
11h30: Presentation of the Mediterranean Experts on Climate and Environmental Change (MedECC) initiative (W. Cramer)
12h00-14h00: Lunch break
SESSION 1 - Interaction between climate and impact models (conveners: F. Guilhaumon, F. Mouillot, N. Martin, L. Jarlan)
14h00: Investigating uncertainties in zooplankton composition shifts under climate change scenarios in the Mediterranean Sea (F. Benedetti) - solicited
14h30: Uncertainty propagation in the assessment of climate change impact on runoff (D. Ruelland) – solicited
15h00: Climate change impact on wildfire danger indices: where do the greatest uncertainties lie? (H. Fargeon)
15h15: Impacts of climate change on extreme discharge in France using climate projections in the SHYREG method (D. Organde)
15h30: The highest uncertainty in the modelling chain for forest impact is located between GCM and RCM (N. Martin)
15h45-16h30: Coffee break and poster session
16h30: Climate change on the Mediterranean Sea: from physical changes to ecosystems’ consequences. Applicability and limitations of current-generation numerical models (D. Macias-Moy) – solicited
17h00: Likelihood of changes in forest species suitability, distribution and diversity under future climate: the case of Southern Europe (S. Noce)
17h15: Towards the prediction of large wildfire occurrence from synoptic circulation patterns (J. Ruffault)
17h30: Challenges in simulating the impact of climate change on snow cover in Mediterranean mountain regions (S. Gascoin)
17h45: Mediterranean biogeochemistry evolution under the A2 climate change scenario simulated with the coupled NEMOMED8/PISCES model (C. Richon)
18h00: Effect of future rainfall changes on faecal indicator bacteria inputs to Mediterranean coastal waters: case study of the bay of Aigues-Mortes, France (M. Rio)
TUESDAY 17 OCTOBER 2017
SESSION 2 - Climate change modelling (conveners: S. Somot, R. Cheddadi, E. Coppola, L. Li, F. Solmon)
9h00: Convection-permitting Med-CORDEX regional climate model simulation (E. Brisson)
9h15: Temporal and spatial aspects of 20th and 21st century warming in the Mediterranean (P. Hadjinicolaou)
9h30: Regional climate chemistry interactions and modelling in the Mediterranean region (F. Solmon)
9h45: Climate sensitivity of different organic aerosol schemes over the Mediterranean basin (A. Cholakian)
10h00-11h00: Coffee break and poster session
11h00: Overview of future climate change over Mediterranean land area and future challenges (F. Giorgi) - solicited
11h30: Challenges and future avenues when reconstructing the past and predicting the future geographic distribution of rare plants in the Mediterranean Alps under changing climates (C. Randin) - solicited
12h00: Robust assessment of the Mediterranean Sea future evolution using the Med-CORDEX RCSM multi-model ensemble: illustration for the Marine Heat Waves (S. Somot)
12h15: Climate change impacts on extreme rainfalls, discharges and floods in Mediterranean catchments (A. Colmet-Daage)
12h30-14h00 Lunch break
14h00: Overview of paleo-climate modelling for the Mediterranean climate and future challenges (J. Guiot) - solicited
14h30: Moroccan hydroclimate variability during the last Millennium (Y. Ait Brahim)
14h45: Modelling lake level and isotopic composition variations over the last century in the Moroccan Middle Atlas (C. Vallet-Coulomb)
SESSION 3 - Downscaling approaches (conveners: J. Carreau, B. Hingray, M. Turco, J-P. Vidal)
15h00: Statistical downscaling and bias correction of climate simulations: Main findings of the StaRMIP project (M. Vrac) - solicited
15h30: An assessment of daily topo-climatic air temperatures for climate downscaling and impact studies on forest functionning: example in Northern Tunisia and Cevennes, France (F.Mouillot)
15h45-16h45: Coffee break and poster session
16h45: Transferability of an ensemble downscaling method across time periods and predictor datasets (J-P. Vidal)
17h00: A non-stationary spatial weather generator for statistical downscaling of precipitation (P. Vaittinada Ayar)
17h15: Statistical Downscaling of EURO-CORDEX future climate scenarios: Projections of droughts, heavy precipitation, heat waves and cold spells (M.F. Cardell)
17h30: Meteoland: An R package to estimate daily meteorological data over landscapes (M. De Cáceres)
17h45-18h30: Round table 1; Impact studies in MISTRALS programs, how to promote interdisciplinarity? (chairs : Y. Tramblay, E. Coppola)
WEDNESDAY 18 OCTOBER 2017
9h00: Using empirical-statistical downscaling to quantify climate change impacts (R. Benestad) – solicited
9h30: Advances in multivariate bias correction of climate model projections (C. Piani) – solicited
SESSION 4 - Pluridisciplinary approaches for impact assessment (conveners: M. Zribi, M. Montginoul, Y. Shin)
10h00: Can we use MED-CORDEX simulations for energy applications? (P. Drobinky) – solicited
10h30-11h00: Coffee break and poster session
11h00: Impacts of aerosols in photovoltaic energy production in the Mediterranean area for climate time scales (C. Gutiérrez)
11h15: Warming trends and extreme events analysis from high resolution observations in Mediterranean coastal areas: insights for the assessment of coastal ecosystems vulnerability to climate change (N. Bensoussan)
11h30: Climatic and socio economic fire drivers in the Mediterranean basin at a century scale: Analysis and modelling based on historical fire statistics (N. Koutsias)
11h45: Impacts of recurring extreme climatic events on societies and landscapes in Provence and Southern French Alps in the 18th century: a comparative analysis (N. Maughan)
12h00: Climate change impacts on groundwater resources in South France (Y. Caballero)
12h15: Catch the big picture of the Mediterranean Sea with the End-to-End NEMOMED12/Eco3M-S - OSMOSE model (F. Moullec)
12h30-14h00 Lunch break
14h00: Assessment of changes in MEdiTerranean HYdro-resources in the South: river basin Trajectories (M. Zribi) – solicited
14h30: Modeling and scenaring fragilized agrosystems in the south-Mediterranean area. The example of the Tensift (Morocco) and Merguellil (Tunisia) watersheds (M. Le Page) – solicited
15h00-16h30: Final discussion: Climate change impacts in the Mediterranean region: new results, uncertainties and research needs (Chairs : C. Piani, C. Randin, S. Somot, N. Martin, M. Zribi, J. Carreau)
